CleanTechnica•about 1 month ago
2100 Transition Scenarios Need A Better Population Denominator
- •Long-term energy transition scenarios for 2100 are likely flawed if they project future energy demand based on outdated 20th-century population growth models (2.5B in 1950 to 8B today).
- •Incorrect population denominators could lead to overestimations of future energy demand, impacting the scale and timing of necessary generation and infrastructure investments.
- •Developers and large power consumers should critically evaluate long-term demand forecasts, as a slower or declining population growth could significantly alter future market dynamics and the need for new capacity.
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